Brasileirão· Regular Season - 31· Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc17 Oct
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.7
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Expert analysis
Botafogo vs Chapecoense: Over 2.5 Goals Pick
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Botafogo are in strong position at home with good attacking shape. Chapecoense are struggling badly at the bottom of the table with defensive issues.
Form & Context
Botafogo show attacking shape in their recent games.
- Botafogo 5 games: 1W 2D 2L, scored 6, conceded 8, over 2.5 in 2, BTTS in 4
- Chapecoense 5 games: 0W 2D 3L, scored 4, conceded 12, over 2.5 in 3, BTTS in 4
- Botafogo sit 13 of 20, 36 pts from 30
- Chapecoense are 20 of 20, 18 pts from 29
- Head to head favors Botafogo in recent meetings
Team News
Team news is provisional with several absences known so far.
- Botafogo missing Arthur Chaves, J. Barrera, Kaio Pantaleao, Marcal, L. Monzon
- Chapecoense missing Heitor, Marcinho, Max Alves, Rafael Carvalheira, Robert Conceicao, Vinicius Balieiro
- Tite returns to command Botafogo after STJD acquittal
- Chapecoense manager open to changing system
- Botafogo aim to move away from relegation zone
Key Matchup
Key duels will see Botafogo pressing hard against Chapecoense's shape.
- Home expected goals 2.41 vs away 0.68
- Most likely score 2-0
- Recent H2H: Botafogo 2-0 and 1-0 wins
- Chapecoense heavy defeats with 8 goals conceded in last two
- Momentum swings to Botafogo at home
The Numbers
The model points to a high probability of goals.
- Over 2.5 goals at 60% probability
- BTTS probability 53%
- Botafogo 64%, draw 24%, away 13%
- Form totals highlight Chapecoense's defensive weaknesses
Three reasons we like this tip
- 160% probability for over 2.5 goals
- 2Chapecoense concede 12 goals in 5 games
- 3Botafogo expected goals edge at home
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at 1.61 best odds. The main risk is Chapecoense defending deep and limiting Botafogo to few chances.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Botafogo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XBotafogo or Draw | 89% | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| 1Botafogo to win | 67% | 1.50 | 1.37 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| AH1 -1.5Botafogo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| AH2 +1.5Chapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.23 | 1.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 | 2.27 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 | 2.43 |
| X2Chapecoense-sc or Draw | 33% | 3.01 | 3.13 |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.54 | 5.35 |
| 2Chapecoense-sc to win | 11% | 8.92 | 7.85 |
| AH2 -1.5Chapecoense-sc -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.93 | - |
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.35 | 7.85 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.72 | 2.01 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 9.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 5.10 | 7.50 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.72 | 1.98 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.67 | 8.76 | 1.48 | 2.67 | - | - |
Recent form
Botafogo- 12 OctACoritiba1-1
- 8 OctHVasco DA Gama1-2
- 19 SeptAMirassol0-2
- 16 SeptHGremio3-2
- 13 SeptHRB Bragantino1-1
Chapecoense-sc- 12 OctHAtletico Paranaense1-4
- 8 OctAVitoria0-4
- 26 SeptAAtletico Nacional1-1
- 19 SeptAAtletico-MG1-1
- 12 SeptHInternacional1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc: FAQ
What is the Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.72. Our predicted score is Botafogo 2-0 Chapecoense-sc.
Who is the favourite to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
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Botafogo are favourites. Our model gives Botafogo a 67% chance of winning, Chapecoense-sc 11%, and the draw 22%.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc kick off?
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Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.
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