Veikkausliiga· Relegation Group - 26· Wiklöf Holding Arena
Mariehamn
Ilves1-1
FT
Mariehamn vs Ilves Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Mariehamn vs Ilves tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Ilves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| AH1 +1.5Mariehamn +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| X2Ilves or Draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.37 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.52 |
| 1XMariehamn or Draw | 58% | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 2Ilves to win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.29 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | 2.24 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.40 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.69 | 2.47 |
| 1Mariehamn to win | 29% | 3.43 | 2.95 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| AH2 -1.5Ilves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.83 | 3.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Mariehamn -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.06 | 5.40 |
Mariehamn vs Ilves odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.45 |
| 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.70 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.24 | 1.48 | 2.47 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.29 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.70 | 2.17 | 1.52 | 2.24 | 1.48 | 2.43 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.56 | 2.24 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.87 | 2.31 | 1.61 | 2.41 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.39 | 2.28 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
Mariehamn vs Ilves preview & analysis
Match preview
Mariehamn host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group - 26) at Wiklöf Holding Arena on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mariehamn arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to SJK 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 14 points from 22 games. Ilves arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Haka 3-0 at home. They're 9th in the table with 25 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Mariehamn have won 1, Ilves have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ilves narrow favourites: Mariehamn 29%, draw 29%, Ilves 42%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.3 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Mariehamn- 18 SeptASJK1-2
- 12 SeptHTurku PS1-0
- 8 SeptALahti1-2
- 31 AugHFF Jaro2-0
- 23 AugAKuPS4-2
Ilves- 3 OctHHaka3-0
- 19 SeptATurku PS3-0
- 12 SeptHLahti3-1
- 8 SeptHFF Jaro2-0
- 31 AugHHJK Helsinki1-2
Head to head
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 |  Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -26 | 14 |
Mariehamn vs Ilves: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Mariehamn vs Ilves?
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Ilves are favourites. Our model gives Mariehamn a 29% chance of winning, Ilves 42%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Mariehamn vs Ilves?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Mariehamn vs Ilves kick off?
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Mariehamn vs Ilves kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Wiklöf Holding Arena, Marie Harbor.
