Nations League· League D - 3· Ta'Qali National Stadium
Malta
Gibraltar1-1
FT
Malta vs Gibraltar Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Malta vs Gibraltar tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Malta +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XMalta or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Gibraltar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Gibraltar or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Malta to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Malta -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Gibraltar to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gibraltar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Malta vs Gibraltar preview & analysis
Match preview
Malta host Gibraltar in the Nations League (League D - 3) at Ta'Qali National Stadium on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Malta arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Liechtenstein 2-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 7 points from 3 games. Gibraltar arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Andorra 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 2 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Malta have won 2, Gibraltar have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Malta narrow favourites: Malta 44%, draw 38%, Gibraltar 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Malta- 27 SeptHLiechtenstein2-0
- 24 SeptAAndorra2-1
- 5 JunAAzerbaijan2-0
- 1 JunASlovakia1-2
Gibraltar- 27 SeptHAndorra0-0
- 23 SeptHSao Tome and Principe0-0
- 6 JunHCayman Islands4-1
- 3 JunHBritish Virgin Islands4-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Malta vs Gibraltar: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Malta vs Gibraltar?
+
Malta are favourites. Our model gives Malta a 44% chance of winning, Gibraltar 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Malta vs Gibraltar?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Malta vs Gibraltar kick off?
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Malta vs Gibraltar kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Ta'Qali National Stadium, Takali.
