Nations League· League C - 5
Luxembourg
Estonia13 Nov
Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 13 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.6 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Luxembourg vs Estonia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Luxembourg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| 1XLuxembourg or Draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Estonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.58 |
| 1Luxembourg to win | 51% | 1.97 | 1.59 |
| X2Estonia or Draw | 49% | 2.03 | 2.13 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 42% | 2.37 | 2.17 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.18 |
| AH1 -1.5Luxembourg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.40 | 2.89 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.70 |
| 2Estonia to win | 21% | 4.68 | 5.35 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.21 | - |
Luxembourg vs Estonia odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.70 | 5.35 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 2.17 | 1.58 |
Luxembourg vs Estonia preview & analysis
Match preview
Luxembourg host Estonia in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Luxembourg are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Bulgaria 0-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Estonia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Iceland 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Luxembourg have won 0, Estonia have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Luxembourg favourites: Luxembourg 51%, draw 28%, Estonia 21%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 42% for over 2.5 and 42% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.58, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Luxembourg 1-0 Estonia.
Recent form
Luxembourg- 6 OctHBulgaria0-2
- 3 OctAEstonia0-1
- 29 SeptHIceland0-3
- 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
- 6 JunAAlbania1-0
Estonia- 6 OctHIceland0-0
- 3 OctHLuxembourg1-0
- 29 SeptABulgaria0-0
- 26 SeptAIceland1-1
- 9 JunHLithuania1-0
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Luxembourg vs Estonia: FAQ
What is the Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.58. Our predicted score is Luxembourg 1-0 Estonia.
Who is the favourite to win Luxembourg vs Estonia?
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Luxembourg are favourites. Our model gives Luxembourg a 51% chance of winning, Estonia 21%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Luxembourg vs Estonia?
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We rate both teams to score at 42%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Luxembourg vs Estonia kick off?
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Luxembourg vs Estonia kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 13 November 2026.
