Nations League· League C - 5
Bulgaria
Iceland13 Nov
Bulgaria vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 13 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Iceland to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
More Bulgaria vs Iceland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Iceland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| X2Iceland or Draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| AH1 +1.5Bulgaria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | 1.27 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.72 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| 1XBulgaria or Draw | 49% | 2.05 | 1.84 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.96 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | 1.96 |
| AH2 -1.5Iceland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.91 | 3.28 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.43 | 3.13 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.52 | 3.75 |
| 1Bulgaria to win | 20% | 4.91 | 3.84 |
| AH1 -1.5Bulgaria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.86 | - |
Bulgaria vs Iceland odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.84 | 3.75 | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 1.96 |
Bulgaria vs Iceland preview & analysis
Match preview
Bulgaria host Iceland in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bulgaria arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Luxembourg 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games. Iceland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Estonia 0-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Bulgaria have won 0, Iceland have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Iceland favourites: Bulgaria 20%, draw 28%, Iceland 51%. We expect around 2.7 goals (0.9 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Iceland are the better side on the numbers and should have enough to win on the road. Our pick is Iceland to win at 1.79, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bulgaria 0-1 Iceland.
Recent form
Bulgaria- 6 OctALuxembourg2-0
- 3 OctAIceland0-3
- 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
- 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
- 5 JunAMoldova2-2
Iceland- 6 OctAEstonia0-0
- 3 OctHBulgaria3-0
- 29 SeptALuxembourg3-0
- 26 SeptHEstonia1-1
- 10 JunAArgentina0-3
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Bulgaria vs Iceland: FAQ
What is the Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction?
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Our tip is Iceland to win at odds of 1.79. Our predicted score is Bulgaria 0-1 Iceland.
Who is the favourite to win Bulgaria vs Iceland?
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Iceland are favourites. Our model gives Bulgaria a 20% chance of winning, Iceland 51%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Bulgaria vs Iceland?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bulgaria vs Iceland kick off?
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Bulgaria vs Iceland kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 13 November 2026.
