Nations League· League C - 5
Moldova
Kazakhstan13 Nov
Moldova vs Kazakhstan Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 13 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
More Moldova vs Kazakhstan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Kazakhstan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Moldova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| X2Kazakhstan or Draw | 68% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| 1XMoldova or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.26 | 2.07 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | 2.46 |
| 2Kazakhstan to win | 37% | 2.72 | 2.59 |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.15 | 3.11 |
| 1Moldova to win | 32% | 3.17 | 2.59 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kazakhstan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.19 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Moldova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.17 | - |
Moldova vs Kazakhstan odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.11 | 2.59 | 2.46 | 1.46 | 2.07 | 1.64 |
Moldova vs Kazakhstan preview & analysis
Match preview
Moldova host Kazakhstan in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Moldova arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Slovakia 0-4 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games. Kazakhstan are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Faroe Islands 2-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 2 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Moldova have won 2, Kazakhstan have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Kazakhstan narrow favourites: Moldova 32%, draw 32%, Kazakhstan 37%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 37% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.46, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Moldova 0-1 Kazakhstan.
Recent form
Moldova- 6 OctHSlovakia0-4
- 2 OctAKazakhstan2-1
- 29 SeptHFaroe Islands1-1
- 26 SeptASlovakia0-2
- 9 JunAArmenia1-1
Kazakhstan- 6 OctHFaroe Islands2-2
- 2 OctHMoldova1-2
- 29 SeptASlovakia1-2
- 26 SeptAFaroe Islands1-1
- 9 JunAHungary1-3
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: FAQ
What is the Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46. Our predicted score is Moldova 0-1 Kazakhstan.
Who is the favourite to win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
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Kazakhstan are favourites. Our model gives Moldova a 32% chance of winning, Kazakhstan 37%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Moldova vs Kazakhstan kick off?
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Moldova vs Kazakhstan kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Friday, 13 November 2026.
