Nations League· League A - 5
Netherlands
Greece13 Nov
Netherlands vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 13 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
2.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Netherlands vs Greece tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Netherlands +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| 1XNetherlands or Draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| 1Netherlands to win | 63% | 1.59 | 1.36 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | 1.73 |
| AH1 -1.5Netherlands -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 50% | 1.98 | 2.06 |
| AH2 +1.5Greece +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 50% | 2.02 | 1.64 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.13 | 1.95 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.32 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | 2.40 |
| X2Greece or Draw | 37% | 2.69 | 2.77 |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.71 | 4.91 |
| 2Greece to win | 16% | 6.29 | 6.87 |
| AH2 -1.5Greece -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 36.07 | - |
Netherlands vs Greece odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.91 | 6.87 | 1.51 | 2.32 | 1.73 | 1.95 |
Netherlands vs Greece preview & analysis
Match preview
Netherlands host Greece in the Nations League (League A - 5) on Friday, 13 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Netherlands arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Serbia 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Greece arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Germany 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 8 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Netherlands have won 2, Greece have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Netherlands clear favourites: Netherlands 63%, draw 21%, Greece 16%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.51, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Netherlands 2-0 Greece.
Recent form
Netherlands- 4 OctHSerbia2-1
- 1 OctAGreece2-2
- 27 SeptASerbia2-1
- 24 SeptHGermany1-1
- 30 JunHMorocco1-1
Greece- 4 OctHGermany0-0
- 1 OctHNetherlands2-2
- 27 SeptAGermany1-0
- 24 SeptASerbia2-1
- 7 JunHItaly0-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Netherlands vs Greece: FAQ
What is the Netherlands vs Greece prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.51. Our predicted score is Netherlands 2-0 Greece.
Who is the favourite to win Netherlands vs Greece?
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Netherlands are favourites. Our model gives Netherlands a 63% chance of winning, Greece 16%, and the draw 21%.
Will both teams score in Netherlands vs Greece?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Netherlands vs Greece kick off?
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Netherlands vs Greece kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 13 November 2026.
