Leiston vs Guiseley AFC Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off 15:00

Our prediction

Over 2.5 goals

Medium· 61%

1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

2-1

Fair odds

1.64

Expected goals

2.0 - 1.1

Add to My Teams

Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.

Fan vote

Who will win?

Votes: 0

Vote to see what other fans think

How many goals?

Votes: 0

Vote to see what other fans think

Match probabilities

44%Leiston

38%Draw

18%Guiseley AFC

Over 2.5 goals61%

Under 2.5 goals39%

Both teams to score59%

Clean sheet either side41%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Leiston vs Guiseley AFC tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH1 +1.5Leiston +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	92%	1.09	-
1XLeiston or Draw	82%	1.23	-
AH2 +1.5Guiseley AFC +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	65%	1.53	-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	61%	1.63	-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score	59%	1.70	-
X2Guiseley AFC or Draw	56%	1.78	-
1Leiston to win	44%	2.28	-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	41%	2.43	-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	39%	2.56	-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.59	-
XDraw	38%	2.65	-
AH1 -1.5Leiston -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	35%	2.89	-
2Guiseley AFC to win	18%	5.43	-
AH2 -1.5Guiseley AFC -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	8%	12.59	-

Leiston vs Guiseley AFC preview & analysis

Match preview

Leiston host Guiseley AFC in the FA Cup (4th Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Leiston are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Racing Club Warwick 0-0 away. Guiseley AFC arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Avro 1-0 away.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Leiston narrow favourites: Leiston 44%, draw 38%, Guiseley AFC 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

Our tip

Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Leiston 2-1 Guiseley AFC.