FA Cup· 4th Round Qualifying
Bury
Harrogate Town17 Oct
Bury vs Harrogate Town Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bury vs Harrogate Town tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bury +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Harrogate Town +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XBury or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Harrogate Town or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Bury to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Harrogate Town to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.60 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bury -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.17 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Harrogate Town -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.41 | - |
Bury vs Harrogate Town preview & analysis
Match preview
Bury host Harrogate Town in the FA Cup (4th Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bury arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Alfreton Town 3-2 away. Harrogate Town arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Woking 1-0 away.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bury narrow favourites: Bury 37%, draw 31%, Harrogate Town 32%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.0 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bury 2-1 Harrogate Town.
Recent form
Bury- 10 OctAAlfreton Town3-2
- 6 OctAStockton Town0-1
- 3 OctHBromsgrove Sporting2-1
- 26 SeptHGainsborough Trinity3-3
- 19 SeptHWorkington5-1
Harrogate Town- 10 OctAWoking1-0
- 3 OctHAFC Hornchurch3-0
- 29 SeptAHartlepool1-0
- 26 SeptHEastleigh4-1
- 19 SeptABoreham Wood1-4
Bury vs Harrogate Town: FAQ
What is the Bury vs Harrogate Town prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bury 2-1 Harrogate Town.
Who is the favourite to win Bury vs Harrogate Town?
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Bury are favourites. Our model gives Bury a 37% chance of winning, Harrogate Town 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Bury vs Harrogate Town?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bury vs Harrogate Town kick off?
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Bury vs Harrogate Town kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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