Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 10· Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze1-3
FT
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Gornik Zabrze +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| AH1 +1.5Jagiellonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.32 |
| X2Gornik Zabrze or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| 1XJagiellonia or Draw | 63% | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.30 | 2.20 |
| 2Gornik Zabrze to win | 37% | 2.70 | 2.65 |
| 1Jagiellonia to win | 32% | 3.08 | 2.65 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.27 | 3.40 |
| AH2 -1.5Gornik Zabrze -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.22 | 4.85 |
| AH1 -1.5Jagiellonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.70 | 4.80 |
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.60 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.38 | 2.53 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.13 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.65 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.38 | 2.53 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.63 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.75 | 1.87 | 2.01 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.47 | 3.07 | 2.50 | 1.91 | 1.93 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze preview & analysis
Match preview
Jagiellonia host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 10) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Jagiellonia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Polonia Warszawa 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 12 points from 9 games. Gornik Zabrze arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Odra Opole 0-2 at home. They're 1st in the table with 25 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Jagiellonia have won 2, Gornik Zabrze have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gornik Zabrze narrow favourites: Jagiellonia 32%, draw 31%, Gornik Zabrze 37%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Jagiellonia- 3 OctHPolonia Warszawa1-2
- 29 SeptHSuduva Marijampole5-0
- 20 SeptHLegia Warszawa1-3
- 16 SeptAOlympiakos Piraeus1-2
- 11 SeptAWisla Krakow0-2
Gornik Zabrze- 2 OctHOdra Opole0-2
- 19 SeptAMotor Lublin0-0
- 15 SeptAKorona Kielce2-0
- 12 SeptHLech Poznan2-1
- 6 SeptACracovia Krakow1-0
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 3 |
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
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Gornik Zabrze are favourites. Our model gives Jagiellonia a 32% chance of winning, Gornik Zabrze 37%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze kick off?
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Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze kicks off at 18:15 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok.
