Brasileirão· Regular Season - 31· Arena do Grêmio
Gremio
Cruzeiro18 Oct
Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
More Gremio vs Cruzeiro tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cruzeiro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| AH1 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| X2Cruzeiro or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| 1XGremio or Draw | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.02 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | 2.15 |
| 2Cruzeiro to win | 43% | 2.33 | 2.26 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 | 2.83 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.38 | 3.61 |
| 1Gremio to win | 28% | 3.63 | 3.20 |
| AH2 -1.5Cruzeiro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.96 | 4.05 |
| AH1 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.30 | 6.10 |
Gremio vs Cruzeiro odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.61 | 2.26 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.21 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.19 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.22 | 1.82 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Gremio vs Cruzeiro preview & analysis
Match preview
Gremio host Cruzeiro in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 31) at Arena do Grêmio on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Gremio arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Internacional 1-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games. Cruzeiro arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 2-4 away. They're 6th in the table with 48 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gremio have won 1, Cruzeiro have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruzeiro narrow favourites: Gremio 28%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 43%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.65, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro.
Recent form
Gremio- 11 OctHInternacional1-1
- 7 OctARemo1-1
- 20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
- 16 SeptABotafogo2-3
- 12 SeptHVasco DA Gama1-2
Cruzeiro- 13 OctARB Bragantino2-4
- 8 OctHSao Paulo2-0
- 20 SeptAVitoria3-1
- 13 SeptASantos1-2
- 6 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Gremio vs Cruzeiro: FAQ
What is the Gremio vs Cruzeiro prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.65. Our predicted score is Gremio 0-1 Cruzeiro.
Who is the favourite to win Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
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Cruzeiro are favourites. Our model gives Gremio a 28% chance of winning, Cruzeiro 43%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Gremio vs Cruzeiro kick off?
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Gremio vs Cruzeiro kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.
