Brasileirão· Regular Season - 31· Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia
Flamengo18 Oct
Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
More Bahia vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 75% | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| AH1 +1.5Bahia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| 1XBahia or Draw | 54% | 1.85 | 1.76 |
| 2Flamengo to win | 46% | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.21 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.43 | 2.30 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | 2.56 |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.39 | 3.58 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.80 |
| 1Bahia to win | 25% | 3.93 | 3.45 |
| AH1 -1.5Bahia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.77 | 6.75 |
Bahia vs Flamengo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.21 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.65 | 2.07 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.68 | 2.03 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.55 | 2.26 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.95 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37 | 3.81 | 2.04 | 1.65 | 2.27 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.07 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Bahia vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Bahia host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 31) at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 21:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bahia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Mirassol 1-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games. Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 1-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bahia have won 1, Flamengo have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo favourites: Bahia 25%, draw 29%, Flamengo 46%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.1 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 56% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.62, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bahia 1-2 Flamengo.
Recent form
Bahia- 11 OctHMirassol1-0
- 9 OctAPalmeiras0-1
- 20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense1-2
- 15 SeptHRemo2-1
- 5 SeptARB Bragantino3-2
Flamengo- 11 OctHFluminense1-0
- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Bahia vs Flamengo: FAQ
What is the Bahia vs Flamengo prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.62. Our predicted score is Bahia 1-2 Flamengo.
Who is the favourite to win Bahia vs Flamengo?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Bahia a 25% chance of winning, Flamengo 46%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Bahia vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bahia vs Flamengo kick off?
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Bahia vs Flamengo kicks off at 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.
