Premier League· Regular Season - 7· Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Sunderland18 Oct
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Sunderland or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
More Bournemouth vs Sunderland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| AH2 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | 1.26 |
| 1XBournemouth or Draw | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.07 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.15 |
| 1Bournemouth to win | 41% | 2.45 | 2.12 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 | 2.88 |
| 2Sunderland to win | 30% | 3.36 | 3.85 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.39 | 3.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.38 | 3.55 |
| AH2 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.07 | 8.10 |
Bournemouth vs Sunderland odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.75 | 3.85 | 1.88 | 2.07 | 1.66 | 2.12 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.50 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.82 | 2.01 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.62 | 3.62 | 1.87 | 2.02 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.07 | 1.79 | 2.07 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Bournemouth vs Sunderland preview & analysis
Match preview
Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Vitality Stadium on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bournemouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Chelsea 1-5 away. They're 18th in the table with 3 points from 6 games. Sunderland are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Brighton 0-2 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bournemouth have won 2, Sunderland have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bournemouth narrow favourites: Bournemouth 41%, draw 30%, Sunderland 30%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.6 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Sunderland should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Sunderland or Draw at 1.86, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bournemouth 1-0 Sunderland.
Recent form
Bournemouth- 10 OctAChelsea1-5
- 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
- 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
- 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
- 8 SeptHLincoln4-0
Sunderland- 10 OctHBrighton0-2
- 20 SeptAManchester City3-5
- 16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0
- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
- 8 SeptHHull City1-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: FAQ
What is the Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction?
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Our tip is Sunderland or Draw at odds of 1.86. Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1-0 Sunderland.
Who is the favourite to win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
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Bournemouth are favourites. Our model gives Bournemouth a 41% chance of winning, Sunderland 30%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bournemouth vs Sunderland kick off?
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Bournemouth vs Sunderland kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
