Brasileirão· Regular Season - 31
Fluminense
Santos18 Oct
Fluminense vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Fluminense vs Santos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| 1XFluminense or Draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| AH2 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| X2Santos or Draw | 54% | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.93 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| 1Fluminense to win | 46% | 2.16 | 2.06 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.37 | 3.65 |
| AH1 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.54 | 3.50 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.55 | 3.08 |
| 2Santos to win | 24% | 4.18 | 3.69 |
| AH2 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.35 | 7.70 |
Fluminense vs Santos odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | - | - | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.65 | 3.69 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.55 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.54 | 3.58 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.73 | 1.97 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.60 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.86 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.64 | 3.65 | 1.90 | 1.93 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Fluminense vs Santos preview & analysis
Match preview
Fluminense host Santos in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 31) on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fluminense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games. Santos arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fluminense have won 4, Santos have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fluminense favourites: Fluminense 46%, draw 30%, Santos 24%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.6 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.91, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fluminense 1-0 Santos.
Recent form
Fluminense- 15 OctHPalmeiras1-2
- 11 OctAFlamengo0-1
- 9 OctHCoritiba4-0
- 20 SeptACorinthians3-1
- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
Santos- 11 OctAAtletico-MG1-2
- 8 OctHFlamengo2-2
- 3 OctASao Paulo2-1
- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Fluminense vs Santos: FAQ
What is the Fluminense vs Santos prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91. Our predicted score is Fluminense 1-0 Santos.
Who is the favourite to win Fluminense vs Santos?
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Fluminense are favourites. Our model gives Fluminense a 46% chance of winning, Santos 24%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Santos?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Fluminense vs Santos kick off?
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Fluminense vs Santos kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
