Premier League· Regular Season - 6· Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Bournemouth5-1
FT
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Chelsea vs Bournemouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Chelsea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| 1XChelsea or Draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| AH2 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.52 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| 1Chelsea to win | 51% | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| X2Bournemouth or Draw | 49% | 2.06 | 2.05 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | 2.35 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | 2.45 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | 2.45 |
| AH1 -1.5Chelsea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.66 | 3.10 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.64 | 4.01 |
| 2Bournemouth to win | 21% | 4.71 | 4.36 |
| AH2 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.44 | 7.70 |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 4.01 | 4.36 | 1.54 | 2.35 | 1.52 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 3.95 | 4.10 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.95 | 4.30 | 1.54 | 2.35 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.07 | 4.03 | 1.59 | 2.45 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.89 | 1.60 | 2.42 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.83 | 4.00 | 4.30 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Chelsea host Bournemouth in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6) at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chelsea arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Brentford 0-3 away. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Bournemouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Liverpool 0-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 3 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chelsea have won 2, Bournemouth have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Chelsea favourites: Chelsea 51%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 21%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Chelsea- 18 SeptABrentford0-3
- 12 SeptHHull City2-2
- 9 SeptHLeeds6-3
- 6 SeptAArsenal1-2
- 30 AugHBrighton4-3
Bournemouth- 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
- 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
- 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
- 8 SeptHLincoln4-0
- 5 SeptANewcastle2-2
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
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Chelsea are favourites. Our model gives Chelsea a 51% chance of winning, Bournemouth 21%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chelsea vs Bournemouth kick off?
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London.
