Bundesliga· Regular Season - 12· Veltins Arena
FC Schalke 04
Borussia Dortmund5 Dec
FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
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More FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Borussia Dortmund +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| X2Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Schalke 04 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XFC Schalke 04 or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Borussia Dortmund to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Borussia Dortmund -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.48 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 1FC Schalke 04 to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Schalke 04 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.35 | - |
FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Schalke 04 host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 12) at Veltins Arena on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Schalke 04 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 5 points from 5 games. Borussia Dortmund arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bodo/Glimt 0-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Schalke 04 have won 0, Borussia Dortmund have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Borussia Dortmund narrow favourites: FC Schalke 04 17%, draw 41%, Borussia Dortmund 42%. We expect around 2.5 goals (0.9 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Schalke 04 0-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Recent form
FC Schalke 04- 11 OctASC Freiburg1-2
- 3 OctAAustria Lustenau1-0
- 24 SeptARot-weiss Oberhausen5-2
- 20 SeptHSV Elversberg0-0
- 11 SeptAUnion Berlin3-1
Borussia Dortmund- 14 OctABodo/Glimt0-1
- 9 OctHWerder Bremen2-2
- 19 SeptAVfB Stuttgart1-0
- 12 SeptHSC Paderborn 073-0
- 8 SeptHVillarreal3-2
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund: FAQ
What is the FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Schalke 04 0-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Who is the favourite to win FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
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Borussia Dortmund are favourites. Our model gives FC Schalke 04 a 17% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
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FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen.
