Conference League· League Stage - 3· AIL Arena
FC Lugano
Kauno Žalgiris5 Nov
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Lugano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFC Lugano or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Kauno Žalgiris +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Kauno Žalgiris or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1FC Lugano to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Lugano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.13 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2Kauno Žalgiris to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kauno Žalgiris -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.74 | - |
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Lugano host Kauno Žalgiris in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at AIL Arena on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Lugano arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. Kauno Žalgiris arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Brighton 0-4 away. They're 36th in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Lugano narrow favourites: FC Lugano 44%, draw 38%, Kauno Žalgiris 18%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Lugano 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris.
Recent form
FC Lugano- 15 OctHFK Crvena Zvezda3-2
- 10 OctHFC Luzern4-0
- 2 OctHHellas Verona1-3
- 20 SeptALausanne4-0
- 16 SeptHFC ST. Gallen4-1
Kauno Žalgiris- 15 OctABrighton0-4
- 11 OctAMinija3-0
- 20 SeptAŠiauliai2-0
- 16 SeptAFK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3
- 13 SeptAPanevėžys1-0
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 |  SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: FAQ
What is the FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is FC Lugano 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris.
Who is the favourite to win FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
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FC Lugano are favourites. Our model gives FC Lugano a 44% chance of winning, Kauno Žalgiris 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris kick off?
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FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at AIL Arena, Lugano.
