La Liga 2· Regular Season - 8· Estadio Municipal Castalia
Castellón
AD Ceuta FC1-1
FT
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
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More Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Castellón +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XCastellón or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AD Ceuta FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2AD Ceuta FC or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Castellón to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Castellón -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2AD Ceuta FC to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AD Ceuta FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Castellón host AD Ceuta FC in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 8) at Estadio Municipal Castalia on Sunday, 4 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Castellón arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Leganes 2-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games. AD Ceuta FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 3-1 at home. They're 21st in the table with 5 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Castellón have won 1, AD Ceuta FC have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Castellón narrow favourites: Castellón 44%, draw 38%, AD Ceuta FC 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Castellón- 28 SeptALeganes2-0
- 19 SeptHTenerife5-0
- 12 SeptAGirona2-1
- 6 SeptHAlbacete2-0
AD Ceuta FC- 26 SeptHReal Sociedad II3-1
- 20 SeptHValladolid1-1
- 11 SeptABurgos1-3
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
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Castellón are favourites. Our model gives Castellón a 44% chance of winning, AD Ceuta FC 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC kick off?
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Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 4 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon.
