Conference League· League Stage - 1· American Express Stadium
Brighton
Kauno Žalgiris4-0
FT
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
Predicted score
3-0
Fair odds
1.32
Expected goals
3.3 - 0.9
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Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams Not To Score Is The Percentage Play
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Brighton's expected goals of 3.42 against Kauno Žalgiris' 0.96 point to a one-sided night at the Amex, and both teams scoring is rated at only 29%. The tip is Both teams NOT to score at 1.31, a strong-probability angle rather than a big price.
Form And Context
Brighton carry the stronger form line into this Conference League league-phase opener.
- Brighton's last five: 4W 1D 0L, scoring 14 and conceding 3, with over 2.5 goals in 3 and BTTS in 2.
- Kauno Žalgiris: 4W 0D 1L, scoring 13 and conceding 4, over 2.5 in 3 and BTTS in 2.
- The visitors won the Lithuanian Cup for the first time, 3-0 against Minija on 11 October.
- Brighton are listed 2nd of 36 in the league phase; Kauno Žalgiris are 32nd of 36.
Team News
Brighton's head coach has already signalled changes, so the XI is not set in stone.
- Pascal Struijk is unavailable while the club manages a hamstring issue, Brighton's pre-match reporting says; his Sunderland red card was overturned.
- The same reporting lists Mats Wieffer, Evan Ferguson, Kaoru Mitoma, Yankuba Minteh and Stefanos Tzimas as not fit or unavailable.
- Jack Hinshelwood is expected back, and Hürzeler said: "there will definitely be changes."
- Sports Mole and Sofascore previews report no Kauno Žalgiris injury or suspension concerns; Sopić told LRT he will pick his strongest eleven.
Key Matchup
The step up in level shapes the goal markets here.
- Brighton are given 84% to win, with the draw at 9% and Kauno Žalgiris at 7%.
- Both teams to score sits at just 29%, and the most likely score is 3-0.
- Expected goals read 3.42 to 0.96, so the scoring expectation leans almost entirely one way.
- Sopić told LRT that "in football, anything is possible," pointing to his side's home win over Beşiktaş.
The Tip
The recommendation is Both teams NOT to score at 1.31.
- The model rates it a 71% outcome, with fair odds of 1.41.
- This is a probability play: the price is short, so there is little room for error.
- Main risk: Kauno Žalgiris scored in four of their last five, and a rotated Brighton side could let one in.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Expected goals of 3.42 to 0.96 point to a one-sided game.
- 2Kauno Žalgiris finding the net at the Amex is rated at only 29%.
- 3Brighton conceded just 3 in their last five and face a limited attacking threat.
Verdict
Back Both teams NOT to score at 1.31. It is the most likely outcome in a match the numbers see going heavily Brighton's way, but the short price means the margin for error is thin.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Brighton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XBrighton or Draw | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1Brighton to win | 84% | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| AH1 -1.5Brighton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | 1.08 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.46 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | 2.38 |
| AH2 +1.5Kauno Žalgiris +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.86 | 5.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 24% | 4.14 | 4.00 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 21% | 4.85 | 4.10 |
| X2Kauno Žalgiris or Draw | 16% | 6.45 | - |
| XDraw | 9% | 11.24 | 23.00 |
| 2Kauno Žalgiris to win | 7% | 15.11 | 50.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Kauno Žalgiris -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 48.11 | - |
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.02 | 23.00 | 67.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 1.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.01 | 29.00 | 65.00 | 1.16 | 4.10 | 3.64 | 1.24 |
| Dafabet | 1.03 | 22.00 | 50.00 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.02 | 19.00 | 51.00 | 1.18 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | - | 17.50 | 51.00 | 1.16 | 4.10 | 3.64 | 1.23 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 23.00 | 51.00 | 1.14 | 4.80 | 3.60 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.02 | 13.00 | 61.00 | 1.14 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.02 | 24.74 | 45.13 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.03 | 21.00 | 32.00 | 1.21 | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.23 |
Recent form
Brighton- 10 OctASunderland2-0
- 19 SeptHArsenal3-0
- 16 SeptAManchester United3-2
- 13 SeptACoventry5-0
- 5 SeptHLeeds1-1
Kauno Žalgiris- 11 OctAMinija3-0
- 20 SeptAŠiauliai2-0
- 16 SeptAFK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3
- 13 SeptAPanevėžys1-0
- 9 SeptHSuduva Marijampole5-1
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mjallby AIF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  FK Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33 |  Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: FAQ
What is the Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.25. Our predicted score is Brighton 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris.
Who is the favourite to win Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
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Brighton are favourites. Our model gives Brighton a 84% chance of winning, Kauno Žalgiris 7%, and the draw 9%.
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
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We rate both teams to score at 24%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris kick off?
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Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at American Express Stadium, Falmer.
