Eredivisie· Regular Season - 8· Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen1-1
FT
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XAjax or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| 1Ajax to win | 68% | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.41 |
| AH1 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | 1.86 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.66 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | 2.28 |
| AH2 +1.5NEC Nijmegen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.71 | 1.99 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.87 | 2.70 |
| X2NEC Nijmegen or Draw | 32% | 3.11 | 3.30 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 | 3.74 |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.97 | 6.40 |
| 2NEC Nijmegen to win | 12% | 8.32 | 7.90 |
| AH2 -1.5NEC Nijmegen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 47.33 | - |
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.00 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.90 | 7.90 | 1.19 | 3.74 | 1.41 | 2.69 |
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 6.40 | 7.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.75 | 8.00 | 1.25 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 1.31 | 5.60 | 7.50 | 1.19 | 3.74 | 1.41 | 2.64 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 6.00 | 7.50 | 1.20 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 6.50 | 8.50 | 1.22 | 4.00 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 6.57 | 7.60 | 1.23 | 4.30 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.29 | 5.61 | 6.57 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.35 | 6.20 | 8.25 | 1.26 | 3.95 | 1.45 | 2.62 |
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview & analysis
Match preview
Ajax host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 8) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Ajax arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Excelsior 2-2 at home. They're 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games. NEC Nijmegen are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they drew with GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 9 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ajax have won 2, NEC Nijmegen have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax clear favourites: Ajax 68%, draw 20%, NEC Nijmegen 12%. We expect around 4.0 goals (3.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 76% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Ajax- 19 SeptHExcelsior2-2
- 15 SeptHWillem II5-1
- 12 SeptAFortuna Sittard5-1
- 5 SeptHPSV Eindhoven1-3
- 30 AugATelstar4-0
NEC Nijmegen- 20 SeptHGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 17 SeptAJuventus0-5
- 12 SeptACambuur0-3
- 8 SeptHExcelsior2-2
- 5 SeptHFeyenoord1-3
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
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Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Ajax a 68% chance of winning, NEC Nijmegen 12%, and the draw 20%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen kick off?
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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
