Championship· Regular Season - 15· Vicarage Road
Watford
Middlesbrough7 Nov
Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Watford vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XWatford or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Watford to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Watford vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Watford host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 15) at Vicarage Road on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Watford are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Cardiff 1-5 away. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 10 games. Middlesbrough arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Stoke City 3-2 away. They're 2nd in the table with 21 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Watford have won 3, Middlesbrough have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Watford 23%, draw 38%, Middlesbrough 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Watford 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Recent form
Watford- 13 OctACardiff1-5
- 10 OctHBurnley0-4
- 18 SeptABristol City0-1
- 12 SeptHStoke City1-2
- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
Middlesbrough- 13 OctAStoke City3-2
- 10 OctHWolves1-0
- 19 SeptABirmingham2-2
- 15 SeptHMillwall2-2
- 12 SeptHNorwich4-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Watford vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
What is the Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Watford 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Who is the favourite to win Watford vs Middlesbrough?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Watford a 23% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Watford vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Watford vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Vicarage Road, Watford.
