Championship· Regular Season - 15· Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
Burnley7 Nov
Cardiff vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cardiff vs Burnley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Burnley or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Cardiff +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XCardiff or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Burnley to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Cardiff to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cardiff -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Cardiff vs Burnley preview & analysis
Match preview
Cardiff host Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 15) at Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cardiff arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Watford 5-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 10 points from 10 games. Burnley arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Charlton 2-2 at home. They're 21st in the table with 8 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cardiff have won 1, Burnley have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Burnley narrow favourites: Cardiff 23%, draw 38%, Burnley 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cardiff 1-2 Burnley.
Recent form
Cardiff- 13 OctHWatford5-1
- 10 OctABlackburn1-2
- 19 SeptHCharlton3-1
- 12 SeptABolton0-1
- 8 SeptHStoke City1-1
Burnley- 13 OctHCharlton2-2
- 10 OctAWatford4-0
- 19 SeptHDerby1-1
- 12 SeptASwansea1-3
- 8 SeptAWrexham1-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Cardiff vs Burnley: FAQ
What is the Cardiff vs Burnley prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cardiff 1-2 Burnley.
Who is the favourite to win Cardiff vs Burnley?
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Burnley are favourites. Our model gives Cardiff a 23% chance of winning, Burnley 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Burnley?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cardiff vs Burnley kick off?
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Cardiff vs Burnley kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
