Championship· Regular Season - 15
Birmingham
Swansea7 Nov
Birmingham vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Birmingham vs Swansea tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XBirmingham or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Swansea or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Birmingham to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Swansea to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Birmingham vs Swansea preview & analysis
Match preview
Birmingham host Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 15) on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games. Swansea arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Millwall 1-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Birmingham have won 3, Swansea have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Birmingham narrow favourites: Birmingham 44%, draw 38%, Swansea 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Birmingham 2-1 Swansea.
Recent form
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Swansea- 13 OctAMillwall1-0
- 10 OctHNorwich2-1
- 19 SeptALincoln2-1
- 12 SeptHBurnley3-1
- 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
Birmingham vs Swansea: FAQ
What is the Birmingham vs Swansea prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Birmingham 2-1 Swansea.
Who is the favourite to win Birmingham vs Swansea?
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Birmingham are favourites. Our model gives Birmingham a 44% chance of winning, Swansea 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Swansea?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Birmingham vs Swansea kick off?
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Birmingham vs Swansea kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
