Championship· Regular Season - 15· Fratton Park
Portsmouth
Stoke City7 Nov
Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Portsmouth vs Stoke City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Stoke City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XPortsmouth or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Stoke City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Portsmouth to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Portsmouth vs Stoke City preview & analysis
Match preview
Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 15) at Fratton Park on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Portsmouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 3-2 at home. They're 16th in the table with 11 points from 9 games. Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 2-3 at home. They're 8th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth have won 2, Stoke City have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stoke City narrow favourites: Portsmouth 23%, draw 38%, Stoke City 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Portsmouth 0-1 Stoke City.
Recent form
Portsmouth- 14 OctHSheffield Utd3-2
- 11 OctASouthampton0-1
- 19 SeptHBlackburn2-2
- 12 SeptACharlton0-0
- 5 SeptHCardiff2-0
Stoke City- 13 OctHMiddlesbrough2-3
- 10 OctABolton2-1
- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: FAQ
What is the Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Portsmouth 0-1 Stoke City.
Who is the favourite to win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
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Stoke City are favourites. Our model gives Portsmouth a 23% chance of winning, Stoke City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Portsmouth vs Stoke City kick off?
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Portsmouth vs Stoke City kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
