Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· Barradao
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense24 Oct
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Vitoria or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Paranaense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| X2Atletico Paranaense or Draw | 64% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.02 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| 1Vitoria to win | 36% | 2.77 | 2.64 |
| 2Atletico Paranaense to win | 34% | 2.93 | 2.72 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.37 | 3.38 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.65 | 3.28 |
| AH1 -1.5Vitoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.85 | 5.10 |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Paranaense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.52 | 5.30 |
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.62 | - | - | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.64 | 3.38 | 2.72 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.28 | 2.63 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.74 | 1.95 |
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitoria host Atletico Paranaense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at Barradao on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vitoria arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 36 points from 30 games. Atletico Paranaense arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 4-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 53 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitoria have won 2, Atletico Paranaense have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitoria narrow favourites: Vitoria 36%, draw 30%, Atletico Paranaense 34%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 47% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Vitoria should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is Vitoria or Draw at 1.47, which our model rates at a 66% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vitoria 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.
Recent form
Vitoria- 11 OctASao Paulo1-2
- 8 OctHChapecoense-sc4-0
- 20 SeptHCruzeiro1-3
- 13 SeptAMirassol2-2
- 8 SeptHGremio1-0
Atletico Paranaense- 12 OctAChapecoense-sc4-1
- 9 OctHAtletico-MG2-2
- 20 SeptHBahia2-1
- 12 SeptACoritiba3-3
- 6 SeptACruzeiro1-3
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: FAQ
What is the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction?
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Our tip is Vitoria or Draw at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Vitoria 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.
Who is the favourite to win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
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Vitoria are favourites. Our model gives Vitoria a 36% chance of winning, Atletico Paranaense 34%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense kick off?
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Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense kicks off at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Barradao, Salvador.
