Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· São Januário
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians24 Oct
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| 1XVasco DA Gama or Draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| AH2 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| 1Vasco DA Gama to win | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 50% | 2.01 | 1.91 |
| X2Corinthians or Draw | 49% | 2.03 | 1.99 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 | 2.03 |
| AH1 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.07 | 3.10 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.40 | 3.65 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.69 | 3.34 |
| 2Corinthians to win | 20% | 5.03 | 4.47 |
| AH2 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.42 | 8.20 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.65 | 4.47 | 2.03 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.54 | 4.33 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians preview & analysis
Match preview
Vasco DA Gama host Corinthians in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at São Januário on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 21:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games. Corinthians are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-4 away. They're 16th in the table with 32 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vasco DA Gama have won 0, Corinthians have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama favourites: Vasco DA Gama 51%, draw 29%, Corinthians 20%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 47% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.82, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Corinthians.
Recent form
Vasco DA Gama- 14 OctABoca Juniors1-0
- 10 OctHRemo0-0
- 8 OctABotafogo2-1
- 20 SeptHCoritiba5-0
- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
Corinthians- 11 OctAPalmeiras1-4
- 7 OctAInternacional1-2
- 20 SeptHFluminense1-3
- 17 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.0-1
- 13 SeptAFlamengo1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians: FAQ
What is the Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.82. Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Corinthians.
Who is the favourite to win Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
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Vasco DA Gama are favourites. Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 51% chance of winning, Corinthians 20%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
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We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians kick off?
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Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians kicks off at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.
