Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· Arena Condá
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense24 Oct
Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.1 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Fluminense or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Chapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XChapecoense-sc or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Fluminense to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.91 | - |
| 1Chapecoense-sc to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Chapecoense-sc -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.79 | - |
Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense preview & analysis
Match preview
Chapecoense-sc host Fluminense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at Arena Condá on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Atletico Paranaense 1-4 at home. They're 20th in the table with 18 points from 29 games. Fluminense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Chapecoense-sc have won 0, Fluminense have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fluminense narrow favourites: Chapecoense-sc 17%, draw 41%, Fluminense 42%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Fluminense.
Recent form
Chapecoense-sc- 12 OctHAtletico Paranaense1-4
- 8 OctAVitoria0-4
- 26 SeptAAtletico Nacional1-1
- 19 SeptAAtletico-MG1-1
- 12 SeptHInternacional1-2
Fluminense- 15 OctHPalmeiras1-2
- 11 OctAFlamengo0-1
- 9 OctHCoritiba4-0
- 20 SeptACorinthians3-1
- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense: FAQ
What is the Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Fluminense.
Who is the favourite to win Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
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Fluminense are favourites. Our model gives Chapecoense-sc a 17% chance of winning, Fluminense 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense kick off?
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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Arena Condá, Chapeco.
