Brasileirão· Regular Season - 38· São Januário
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria2 Dec
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XVasco DA Gama or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Vitoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Vitoria or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Vasco DA Gama to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Vitoria to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vitoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria preview & analysis
Match preview
Vasco DA Gama host Vitoria in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 38) at São Januário on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vasco DA Gama arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Boca Juniors 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games. Vitoria arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 36 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vasco DA Gama have won 4, Vitoria have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama narrow favourites: Vasco DA Gama 44%, draw 38%, Vitoria 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Vitoria.
Recent form
Vasco DA Gama- 14 OctABoca Juniors1-0
- 10 OctHRemo0-0
- 8 OctABotafogo2-1
- 20 SeptHCoritiba5-0
- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
Vitoria- 11 OctASao Paulo1-2
- 8 OctHChapecoense-sc4-0
- 20 SeptHCruzeiro1-3
- 13 SeptAMirassol2-2
- 8 SeptHGremio1-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria: FAQ
What is the Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Vitoria.
Who is the favourite to win Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
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Vasco DA Gama are favourites. Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 44% chance of winning, Vitoria 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria kick off?
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Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.
