Brasileirão· Regular Season - 38· Arena do Grêmio
Gremio
Mirassol2 Dec
Gremio vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 2 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Gremio vs Mirassol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Mirassol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Mirassol or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Gremio +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XGremio or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Mirassol to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mirassol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Gremio to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Gremio -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Gremio vs Mirassol preview & analysis
Match preview
Gremio host Mirassol in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 38) at Arena do Grêmio on Wednesday, 2 December 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Gremio arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Internacional 1-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games. Mirassol arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Bahia 0-1 away. They're 15th in the table with 33 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Gremio have won 1, Mirassol have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mirassol narrow favourites: Gremio 23%, draw 38%, Mirassol 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Gremio 0-1 Mirassol.
Recent form
Gremio- 11 OctHInternacional1-1
- 7 OctARemo1-1
- 20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
- 16 SeptABotafogo2-3
- 12 SeptHVasco DA Gama1-2
Mirassol- 11 OctABahia0-1
- 7 OctARB Bragantino1-1
- 27 SeptAUberlandia4-0
- 19 SeptHBotafogo2-0
- 13 SeptHVitoria2-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Gremio vs Mirassol: FAQ
What is the Gremio vs Mirassol prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Gremio 0-1 Mirassol.
Who is the favourite to win Gremio vs Mirassol?
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Mirassol are favourites. Our model gives Gremio a 23% chance of winning, Mirassol 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Gremio vs Mirassol?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Gremio vs Mirassol kick off?
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Gremio vs Mirassol kicks off at 21:00 UTC on Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.
