Europa League· League Stage - 3· Den Dreef
Union St. Gilloise
Hapoel Beer Sheva22 Oct
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.3 - 0.7
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Match probabilities
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More Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| 1XUnion St. Gilloise or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| X2Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Union St. Gilloise to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 37% | 2.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.31 | - |
| 2Hapoel Beer Sheva to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Hapoel Beer Sheva -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.68 | - |
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva preview & analysis
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Europa League (League Stage - 3) at Den Dreef on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union St. Gilloise arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad 1-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to AZ Alkmaar 1-2 away. They're 25th in the table with 1 point from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union St. Gilloise narrow favourites: Union St. Gilloise 44%, draw 38%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 18%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.3 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 37% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Recent form
Union St. Gilloise- 15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1
- 11 OctHOH Leuven1-1
- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
Hapoel Beer Sheva- 15 OctAAZ Alkmaar1-2
- 10 OctAIroni Tiberias2-0
- 19 SeptHIroni Kiryat Shmona1-0
- 16 SeptHDinamo Zagreb0-0
- 13 SeptAHapoel Petah Tikva2-0
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 23 |  Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 |  NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: FAQ
What is the Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Who is the favourite to win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
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Union St. Gilloise are favourites. Our model gives Union St. Gilloise a 44% chance of winning, Hapoel Beer Sheva 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
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We rate both teams to score at 37%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva kick off?
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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva kicks off at 16:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Den Dreef, Heverlee.
