FA Cup· 4th Round Qualifying
Sutton Utd
Truro City17 Oct
Sutton Utd vs Truro City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
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More Sutton Utd vs Truro City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sutton Utd +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSutton Utd or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Truro City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Truro City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Sutton Utd to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sutton Utd -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Truro City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Truro City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Sutton Utd vs Truro City preview & analysis
Match preview
Sutton Utd host Truro City in the FA Cup (4th Round Qualifying) on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sutton Utd arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat West Bromwich Albion U21 3-2 at home. Truro City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Birmingham City U21 3-0 at home.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Sutton Utd have won 2, Truro City have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sutton Utd narrow favourites: Sutton Utd 44%, draw 38%, Truro City 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sutton Utd 1-0 Truro City.
Recent form
Sutton Utd- 13 OctHWest Bromwich Albion U213-2
- 9 OctHBoreham Wood0-2
- 3 OctAKidderminster Harriers1-1
- 30 SeptATamworth0-2
- 26 SeptHForest Green3-3
Truro City- 13 OctHBirmingham City U213-0
- 10 OctABraintree2-1
- 6 OctAFarnham Town2-2
- 3 OctHCirencester Town4-0
- 26 SeptAMaidstone Utd2-1
Head to head
Sutton Utd vs Truro City: FAQ
What is the Sutton Utd vs Truro City prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1-0 Truro City.
Who is the favourite to win Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
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Sutton Utd are favourites. Our model gives Sutton Utd a 44% chance of winning, Truro City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Truro City?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sutton Utd vs Truro City kick off?
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Sutton Utd vs Truro City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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