Czech First League· Regular Season - 17· epet ARENA
Sparta Praha
Mlada Boleslav5 Dec
Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sparta Praha +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSparta Praha or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Mlada Boleslav +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Mlada Boleslav or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Sparta Praha to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sparta Praha -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Mlada Boleslav to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mlada Boleslav -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav preview & analysis
Match preview
Sparta Praha host Mlada Boleslav in the Czech First League (Regular Season - 17) at epet ARENA on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sparta Praha arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Lillestrom 1-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 10 games. Mlada Boleslav arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bohemians 1905 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sparta Praha have won 3, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sparta Praha narrow favourites: Sparta Praha 44%, draw 38%, Mlada Boleslav 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sparta Praha 1-0 Mlada Boleslav.
Recent form
Sparta Praha- 15 OctHLillestrom1-1
- 11 OctHPardubice2-0
- 2 OctHVysočina Jihlava5-3
- 20 SeptASigma Olomouc3-0
- 16 SeptAArarat-Armenia4-1
Mlada Boleslav- 14 OctABohemians 19050-1
- 10 OctAPlzen0-3
- 2 OctHPříbram3-1
- 19 SeptHZbrojovka Brno2-0
- 15 SeptATřinec3-0
Head to head
Czech First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 26 |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Teplice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Hradec Králové | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Baník Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Zlin | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 1 |
Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav: FAQ
What is the Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1-0 Mlada Boleslav.
Who is the favourite to win Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
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Sparta Praha are favourites. Our model gives Sparta Praha a 44% chance of winning, Mlada Boleslav 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav kick off?
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Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at epet ARENA, Prague.
