FA Cup· 4th Round Qualifying
Southend
Berkhamsted17 Oct
Southend vs Berkhamsted Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
2.6 - 0.8
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Votes: 0Expert analysis
Southend vs Berkhamsted: Goals at Both Ends?
Analysis by Marcus Hale
English football, Champions League & Europa League ·
Southend arrive with strong attacking numbers, having scored 14 goals across their last five matches, while Berkhamsted have shown they can contribute on the road. Both teams to score is the recommended pick at 1.67, although Southend's attacking advantage and Berkhamsted's two BTTS results in five matches make the visitors' contribution the key uncertainty.
Form and Context
Southend's recent results point towards an attacking home performance, but Berkhamsted have enough recent scoring evidence to keep the contest interesting.
- Southend recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last five matches.
- The Shrimpers scored 14 goals in that run, including six against Gateshead.
- Berkhamsted won 3 of their last 5, scoring nine goals overall.
- Berkhamsted's latest result was a 3-0 away win against Yate Town on 10 October.
Team News
Southend have reported fitness concerns ahead of the cup tie, with final decisions still pending.
- Defender Ben Goodliffe returned to training on 16 October after illness, but his availability remains uncertain.
- Rico Richards has also been affected by the sickness outbreak while recovering from a hamstring problem.
- Two unnamed Southend players reportedly missed training with sickness symptoms.
- Berkhamsted have no confirmed injury or suspension update, and neither side has a verified projected starting XI.
The Goal Case
The case for both teams scoring rests on Southend's open recent matches and Berkhamsted's capacity to find the net.
- Southend had BTTS in all five of their recent matches, a strong signal for goals at both ends.
- Berkhamsted registered BTTS in two of their last five, so their scoring record offers a more cautious picture.
- The model gives BTTS a 55% probability, making it a credible outcome rather than an overwhelming one.
- Expected goals stand at 2.60 for Southend and 0.75 for Berkhamsted, suggesting the home side should carry most of the attacking threat.
Price and Risk
The recommendation favours a plausible two-sided scoring outcome rather than chasing an unusually generous price.
- Both teams to score is available at best odds of 1.67.
- The model's fair odds are 1.83, while its stated probability for BTTS is 55%.
- The main concern is Berkhamsted's record of scoring in only two of their last five matches that also featured BTTS twice.
- The model's most likely score is 2-0, underlining the risk that Southend dominate without conceding.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Southend have recorded BTTS in five consecutive recent matches.
- 2Berkhamsted scored nine goals in five matches and won their latest away fixture 3-0.
- 3The model assigns BTTS a 55% probability, supporting the selection as a plausible outcome.
Verdict
The pick is Both teams to score at 1.67. Southend's recent scoring pattern supports the selection, but Berkhamsted's inconsistent BTTS record and the model's 2-0 most likely score mean the visitors must deliver their share.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Southend vs Berkhamsted tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Southend +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XSouthend or Draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.02 |
| 1Southend to win | 65% | 1.54 | 1.28 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| AH1 -1.5Southend -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.80 | 1.87 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | 2.05 |
| AH2 +1.5Berkhamsted +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.24 | 1.79 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | 2.08 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 | 2.56 |
| X2Berkhamsted or Draw | 35% | 2.87 | 3.04 |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.06 | 5.20 |
| 2Berkhamsted to win | 15% | 6.62 | 7.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Berkhamsted -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 43.41 | - |
Southend vs Berkhamsted odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.20 | 7.50 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.20 | 7.00 | 1.44 | 2.62 | - | - |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 5.20 | 7.60 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.70 | 1.98 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Recent form
Southend- 10 OctABoston United2-1
- 3 OctHAFC Fylde3-1
- 30 SeptAEastleigh1-1
- 26 SeptHBarrow2-4
- 19 SeptAGateshead6-1
Berkhamsted- 10 OctAYate Town3-0
- 3 OctARedditch United2-0
- 29 SeptASholing0-2
- 26 SeptHChatham Town3-1
- 22 SeptHHanworth Villa1-2
Southend vs Berkhamsted: FAQ
What is the Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.67. Our predicted score is Southend 2-0 Berkhamsted.
Who is the favourite to win Southend vs Berkhamsted?
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Southend are favourites. Our model gives Southend a 65% chance of winning, Berkhamsted 15%, and the draw 20%.
Will both teams score in Southend vs Berkhamsted?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Southend vs Berkhamsted kick off?
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Southend vs Berkhamsted kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
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