Brasileirão· Regular Season - 21· Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo
Santos1-2
FT
Sao Paulo vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sao Paulo vs Santos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sao Paulo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Santos or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XSao Paulo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Santos to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Sao Paulo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sao Paulo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Sao Paulo vs Santos preview & analysis
Match preview
Sao Paulo host Santos in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 21) at Estadio Do MorumBIS on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sao Paulo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Internacional 1-0 at home. They're 10th in the table with 39 points from 30 games. Santos arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Remo 2-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sao Paulo have won 2, Santos have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santos narrow favourites: Sao Paulo 23%, draw 38%, Santos 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Sao Paulo- 20 SeptHInternacional1-0
- 16 SeptHBoca Juniors1-1
- 12 SeptAPalmeiras0-2
Santos- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
- 13 SeptHCruzeiro2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Sao Paulo vs Santos: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sao Paulo vs Santos?
+
Santos are favourites. Our model gives Sao Paulo a 23% chance of winning, Santos 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Santos?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sao Paulo vs Santos kick off?
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Sao Paulo vs Santos kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.
