Nations League· League C - 3· Illovszky Rudolf Stadion
Belarus
San Marino4-0
FT
Belarus vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Belarus vs San Marino tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Belarus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XBelarus or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| X2San Marino or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| AH2 +1.5San Marino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Belarus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Belarus to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 2San Marino to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Marino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.81 | - |
Belarus vs San Marino preview & analysis
Match preview
Belarus host San Marino in the Nations League (League C - 3) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Belarus arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Finland 0-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games. San Marino are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Albania 0-3 at home. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Belarus have won 2, San Marino have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Belarus favourites: Belarus 47%, draw 41%, San Marino 12%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.6 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Belarus- 29 SeptAFinland0-0
- 26 SeptAAlbania0-2
- 9 JunHBurkina Faso2-2
- 5 JunHSyria4-1
San Marino- 29 SeptHAlbania0-3
- 26 SeptHFinland0-7
- 9 JunAAzerbaijan1-2
- 5 JunHBangladesh1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Belarus vs San Marino: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Belarus vs San Marino?
+
Belarus are favourites. Our model gives Belarus a 47% chance of winning, San Marino 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Belarus vs San Marino?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Belarus vs San Marino kick off?
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Belarus vs San Marino kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest.
