Nations League· League C - 3· Ice Rink Laugardalur
Iceland
Bulgaria3-0
FT
Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Iceland vs Bulgaria tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Iceland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | - |
| 1XIceland or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bulgaria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| X2Bulgaria or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Iceland to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Iceland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.64 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| 2Bulgaria to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bulgaria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 23.66 | - |
Iceland vs Bulgaria preview & analysis
Match preview
Iceland host Bulgaria in the Nations League (League C - 3) at Ice Rink Laugardalur on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Iceland arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Luxembourg 3-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Bulgaria arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Estonia 0-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Iceland favourites: Iceland 47%, draw 41%, Bulgaria 12%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.4 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 35% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Iceland- 29 SeptALuxembourg3-0
- 26 SeptHEstonia1-1
- 10 JunAArgentina0-3
- 31 MayAJapan0-1
Bulgaria- 29 SeptHEstonia0-0
- 26 SeptHLuxembourg1-2
- 5 JunAMoldova2-2
- 1 JunHMontenegro0-1
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Iceland vs Bulgaria: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Iceland vs Bulgaria?
+
Iceland are favourites. Our model gives Iceland a 47% chance of winning, Bulgaria 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Iceland vs Bulgaria?
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We rate both teams to score at 35%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Iceland vs Bulgaria kick off?
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Iceland vs Bulgaria kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik.
