Nations League· League C - 3· A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia
Luxembourg1-0
FT
Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Estonia vs Luxembourg tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Luxembourg +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Estonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| X2Luxembourg or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XEstonia or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Luxembourg to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| 1Estonia to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Luxembourg -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Estonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.37 | - |
Estonia vs Luxembourg preview & analysis
Match preview
Estonia host Luxembourg in the Nations League (League C - 3) at A. Le Coq Arena on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Estonia arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Bulgaria 0-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games. Luxembourg arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Iceland 0-3 at home. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Luxembourg narrow favourites: Estonia 23%, draw 38%, Luxembourg 39%. We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Estonia- 29 SeptABulgaria0-0
- 26 SeptAIceland1-1
- 9 JunHLithuania1-0
- 6 JunHFaroe Islands1-0
Luxembourg- 29 SeptHIceland0-3
- 26 SeptABulgaria2-1
- 6 JunAAlbania1-0
- 3 JunHItaly0-1
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Estonia vs Luxembourg: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Estonia vs Luxembourg?
+
Luxembourg are favourites. Our model gives Estonia a 23% chance of winning, Luxembourg 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Estonia vs Luxembourg?
+
We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Estonia vs Luxembourg kick off?
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Estonia vs Luxembourg kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn.
