Copa Sudamericana· Quarter-finals· Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo
Boca Juniors1-1
FT
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Boca Juniors +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| X2Boca Juniors or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sao Paulo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| 1XSao Paulo or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.31 | - |
| 2Boca Juniors to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Boca Juniors -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.75 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 1Sao Paulo to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sao Paulo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.16 | - |
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors preview & analysis
Match preview
Sao Paulo host Boca Juniors in the Copa Sudamericana (Quarter-finals) at Estadio Do MorumBIS on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sao Paulo arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 1 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 2. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0-2 away. They're 1st in the table with 12 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Sao Paulo have won 0, Boca Juniors have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Boca Juniors narrow favourites: Sao Paulo 17%, draw 41%, Boca Juniors 42%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.8 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Sao Paulo- 12 SeptAPalmeiras0-2
Boca JuniorsHead to head
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?
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Boca Juniors are favourites. Our model gives Sao Paulo a 17% chance of winning, Boca Juniors 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors kick off?
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Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.
