La Liga· Regular Season - 6· Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna4-0
FT
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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More Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Osasuna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Osasuna or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Osasuna to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Osasuna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Osasuna in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6) at Metropolitano Stadium on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico Madrid arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 2 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Real Sociedad 3-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Osasuna arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Espanyol 0-2 at home. They're 16th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 4, Osasuna have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 44%, draw 38%, Osasuna 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
- 9 SeptALiverpool1-2
Osasuna- 12 SeptHEspanyol0-2
- 6 SeptAAlaves2-5
- 31 AugHGetafe1-0
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 44% chance of winning, Osasuna 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna kick off?
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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
