Europa League· League Stage - 1· San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan
Benfica0-2
FT
AC Milan vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Benfica tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Benfica or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Benfica to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.66 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.77 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.17 | - |
AC Milan vs Benfica preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Benfica in the Europa League (League Stage - 1) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Lazio 2-2 away. They're 30th in the table with 0 points from 1 game. Benfica arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat GIL Vicente 3-1 at home. They're 7th in the table with 3 points from 1 game.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, AC Milan have won 0, Benfica have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: AC Milan 17%, draw 41%, Benfica 42%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.3 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Recent form
AC Milan- 12 SeptALazio2-2
- 6 SeptAJuventus1-1
- 28 AugHVenezia2-0
Benfica- 13 SeptHGIL Vicente3-1
- 9 SeptAMoreirense4-0
- 5 SeptAMaritimo3-0
Head to head
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Benfica: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Benfica?
+
Benfica are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 17% chance of winning, Benfica 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Benfica?
+
We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does AC Milan vs Benfica kick off?
+
AC Milan vs Benfica kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
