Copa Sudamericana· Quarter-finals· MRV Arena
Atletico-MG
Santos4-2
FT
Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico-MG vs Santos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Santos or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XAtletico-MG or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Santos to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Atletico-MG to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Atletico-MG vs Santos preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico-MG host Santos in the Copa Sudamericana (Quarter-finals) at MRV Arena on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Santos arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Cruzeiro 2-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico-MG have won 1, Santos have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santos narrow favourites: Atletico-MG 23%, draw 38%, Santos 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atletico-MGSantos- 13 SeptHCruzeiro2-1
Head to head
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
Atletico-MG vs Santos: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico-MG vs Santos?
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Santos are favourites. Our model gives Atletico-MG a 23% chance of winning, Santos 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Santos?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Atletico-MG vs Santos kick off?
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Atletico-MG vs Santos kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.
