Nations League· League C - 5
San Marino
Belarus12 Nov
San Marino vs Belarus Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
0.7 - 2.6
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Match probabilities
More San Marino vs Belarus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Belarus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2Belarus or Draw | 96% | 1.05 | - |
| 2Belarus to win | 79% | 1.26 | 1.04 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | 1.62 |
| AH2 -1.5Belarus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| AH1 +1.5San Marino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 37% | 2.71 | 2.48 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 | 2.66 |
| 1XSan Marino or Draw | 21% | 4.87 | 5.74 |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.19 | 8.65 |
| 1San Marino to win | 4% | 22.72 | 17.00 |
| AH1 -1.5San Marino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.98 | - |
San Marino vs Belarus odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 17.00 | 8.65 | 1.04 | 1.40 | 2.66 | 2.48 | 1.45 |
San Marino vs Belarus preview & analysis
Match preview
San Marino host Belarus in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
San Marino are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 18. Most recently they lost to Albania 1-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games. Belarus arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Finland 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, San Marino have won 0, Belarus have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Belarus clear favourites: San Marino 4%, draw 16%, Belarus 79%. We expect around 3.4 goals (0.7 - 2.6 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 37% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score at 1.45, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is San Marino 0-2 Belarus.
Recent form
San Marino- 6 OctAAlbania1-2
- 3 OctABelarus0-4
- 29 SeptHAlbania0-3
- 26 SeptHFinland0-7
- 9 JunAAzerbaijan1-2
Belarus- 6 OctHFinland1-0
- 3 OctHSan Marino4-0
- 29 SeptAFinland0-0
- 26 SeptAAlbania0-2
- 9 JunHBurkina Faso2-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
San Marino vs Belarus: FAQ
What is the San Marino vs Belarus prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.45. Our predicted score is San Marino 0-2 Belarus.
Who is the favourite to win San Marino vs Belarus?
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Belarus are favourites. Our model gives San Marino a 4% chance of winning, Belarus 79%, and the draw 16%.
Will both teams score in San Marino vs Belarus?
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We rate both teams to score at 37%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does San Marino vs Belarus kick off?
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San Marino vs Belarus kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026.
