Liga Profesional· Apertura - Round of 16· Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Rosario Central
Independiente3-1
FT
Rosario Central vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Rosario Central vs Independiente tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Independiente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Independiente or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Rosario Central +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XRosario Central or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| 2Independiente to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.94 | - |
| 1Rosario Central to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Rosario Central -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.88 | - |
Rosario Central vs Independiente preview & analysis
Match preview
Rosario Central host Independiente in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - Round of 16) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Rosario Central have won 2, Independiente have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.2 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente narrow favourites: Rosario Central 23%, draw 38%, Independiente 39%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Rosario Central vs Independiente: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Rosario Central vs Independiente?
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Independiente are favourites. Our model gives Rosario Central a 23% chance of winning, Independiente 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Independiente?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Rosario Central vs Independiente kick off?
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Rosario Central vs Independiente kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario.
