Premier League· Regular Season - 36· Turf Moor
Burnley
Aston Villa2-2
FT
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Burnley vs Aston Villa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Aston Villa or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Burnley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| 1XBurnley or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Aston Villa to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.91 | - |
| 1Burnley to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Burnley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.79 | - |
Burnley vs Aston Villa preview & analysis
Match preview
Burnley host Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 36) at Turf Moor on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Burnley have won 1, Aston Villa have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 6 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Aston Villa narrow favourites: Burnley 17%, draw 41%, Aston Villa 42%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 | 65 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Burnley vs Aston Villa: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Burnley vs Aston Villa?
+
Aston Villa are favourites. Our model gives Burnley a 17% chance of winning, Aston Villa 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Aston Villa?
+
We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Burnley vs Aston Villa kick off?
+
Burnley vs Aston Villa kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Turf Moor, Burnley.
