Liga Profesional· Apertura - Round of 16· Estadio Monumental
River Plate
San Lorenzo1-1
FT
River Plate vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More River Plate vs San Lorenzo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5River Plate +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH2 +1.5San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XRiver Plate or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| X2San Lorenzo or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1River Plate to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 28% | 3.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| 2San Lorenzo to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH1 -1.5River Plate -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Lorenzo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.29 | - |
River Plate vs San Lorenzo preview & analysis
Match preview
River Plate host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - Round of 16) at Estadio Monumental on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, River Plate have won 2, San Lorenzo have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 0.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes River Plate narrow favourites: River Plate 44%, draw 38%, San Lorenzo 18%. We expect around 1.6 goals (1.0 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 28% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
River Plate vs San Lorenzo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
+
River Plate are favourites. Our model gives River Plate a 44% chance of winning, San Lorenzo 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
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We rate both teams to score at 28%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does River Plate vs San Lorenzo kick off?
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River Plate vs San Lorenzo kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires.
