Liga Profesional· Apertura - Round of 16· Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe1-2
FT
Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Independ. Rivadavia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XIndepend. Rivadavia or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Union Santa Fe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Union Santa Fe or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Independ. Rivadavia to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Independ. Rivadavia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Union Santa Fe to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Union Santa Fe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe preview & analysis
Match preview
Independ. Rivadavia host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - Round of 16) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Independ. Rivadavia have won 1, Union Santa Fe have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independ. Rivadavia narrow favourites: Independ. Rivadavia 44%, draw 38%, Union Santa Fe 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
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Independ. Rivadavia are favourites. Our model gives Independ. Rivadavia a 44% chance of winning, Union Santa Fe 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe kick off?
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Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza.
