Bundesliga· Regular Season - 7· Mewa Arena
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen24 Oct
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FSV Mainz 05 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| 1XFSV Mainz 05 or Draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| AH2 +1.5Werder Bremen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | 1.45 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.47 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| X2Werder Bremen or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | 2.07 |
| 1FSV Mainz 05 to win | 47% | 2.14 | 1.84 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | 2.34 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.65 | 2.50 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 | 2.46 |
| AH1 -1.5FSV Mainz 05 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.15 | 3.08 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.74 | 4.26 |
| 2Werder Bremen to win | 27% | 3.77 | 4.21 |
| AH2 -1.5Werder Bremen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | 7.40 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.90 | - | - | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 4.26 | 4.21 | 1.47 | 2.46 | 1.49 | 2.48 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 4.15 | 4.10 | 1.47 | 2.46 | 1.49 | 2.44 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen preview & analysis
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7) at Mewa Arena on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 at home. They're 8th in the table with 7 points from 5 games. Werder Bremen arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Most recently they drew with Borussia Dortmund 2-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 8 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FSV Mainz 05 have won 1, Werder Bremen have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FSV Mainz 05 favourites: FSV Mainz 05 47%, draw 27%, Werder Bremen 27%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.53, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Werder Bremen.
Recent form
FSV Mainz 05- 10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4
- 3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0
- 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
- 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
- 6 SeptAHamburger SV5-0
Werder Bremen- 9 OctABorussia Dortmund2-2
- 2 OctATwente0-7
- 19 SeptHFC Augsburg3-2
- 12 SeptA1. FC Köln1-1
- 5 SeptHRB Leipzig3-1
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: FAQ
What is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.53. Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Werder Bremen.
Who is the favourite to win FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
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FSV Mainz 05 are favourites. Our model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 47% chance of winning, Werder Bremen 27%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen kick off?
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
