La Liga· Regular Season - 10· Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Villarreal24 Oct
Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
More Valencia vs Villarreal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| X2Villarreal or Draw | 74% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| AH1 +1.5Valencia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | 1.78 |
| 1XValencia or Draw | 55% | 1.82 | 1.77 |
| 2Villarreal to win | 45% | 2.23 | 2.17 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | 2.20 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.37 | 2.24 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 | 2.72 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | 3.78 |
| AH2 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.56 | 3.75 |
| 1Valencia to win | 26% | 3.81 | 3.45 |
| AH1 -1.5Valencia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.18 | 7.10 |
Valencia vs Villarreal odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.05 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.45 | 3.78 | 2.17 | 1.78 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.36 | 3.68 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 2.13 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.85 | 2.15 | 1.71 | 2.16 | - | - |
Valencia vs Villarreal preview & analysis
Match preview
Valencia host Villarreal in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Valencia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Racing Santander 2-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 5 points from 8 games. Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Napoli 3-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Valencia have won 1, Villarreal have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Villarreal narrow favourites: Valencia 26%, draw 29%, Villarreal 45%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.65, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Valencia 1-2 Villarreal.
Recent form
Valencia- 11 OctARacing Santander2-2
- 20 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
- 15 SeptAAlaves1-0
- 11 SeptASevilla0-1
- 6 SeptHBarcelona0-5
Villarreal- 13 OctHNapoli3-1
- 10 OctAReal Madrid0-1
- 20 SeptHLevante3-1
- 17 SeptAMalaga3-1
- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Valencia vs Villarreal: FAQ
What is the Valencia vs Villarreal prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.65. Our predicted score is Valencia 1-2 Villarreal.
Who is the favourite to win Valencia vs Villarreal?
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Villarreal are favourites. Our model gives Valencia a 26% chance of winning, Villarreal 45%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Villarreal?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Valencia vs Villarreal kick off?
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Valencia vs Villarreal kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
