MLS· Regular Season - 30· Talen Energy Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte17 Oct
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
2.7 - 1.0
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Fan vote
Expert analysis
Union's 8-game winning streak targets Over 2.5 goals vs Charlotte
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & Portugal ·
Philadelphia Union have won five straight with 18 goals scored. Charlotte are inconsistent but BTTS in 4 of 5. Model probabilities see 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Form and Momentum
Philadelphia are in red hot form with a massive streak.
- Club-record 8 consecutive wins and 14-game unbeaten run
- 18 goals scored with over 2.5 goals in all 5 games
- Recent form includes 5-0 away win and 4-3 thriller
- Charlotte have 2 wins 1 draw 2 losses in 5 games
- BTTS in 4 of last 5 and over 2.5 in 4 of 5
Team News
Injuries are known but lineups provisional with 2 days to kickoff.
- Philadelphia missing Agustin Anello (adductor) and Danley Jean Jacques (foot)
- Charlotte without Nimfasha Berchimas (lower body), Archie Goodwin (lower body) and Aron John (upper body)
- A. Doucoure is inactive
- No players suspended per latest MLS disciplinary summary
- Lineups remain unconfirmed for this match
Model Numbers
Strong model backing for goals in this matchup.
- 68% probability of over 2.5 goals
- Most likely score 2-1
- BTTS probability 64%
- Union 6th with 45 pts and Charlotte 5th with 46 pts from 29 games
- Head to head has goals in 4 of 5 previous meetings
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Philadelphia winning streak with 18 goals scored supports high output
- 2Charlotte BTTS in 4 of 5 and over 2.5 in 4 of 5
- 368% model probability makes over 2.5 the most likely outcome
Verdict
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. This follows from Philadelphia's momentum and the 68% model probability with main risk being Charlotte staying compact and limiting chances on the road.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Philadelphia Union +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.04 | - |
| 1XPhiladelphia Union or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| AH1 -1.5Philadelphia Union -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 54% | 1.85 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Charlotte +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 46% | 2.18 | - |
| X2Charlotte or Draw | 40% | 2.52 | 2.50 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | 2.62 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.51 | - |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.32 | 4.50 |
| 2Charlotte to win | 17% | 6.04 | 5.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Charlotte -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 29.55 | - |
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.00 | - | - | 1.40 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.25 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.80 | 5.35 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.42 | 2.61 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 5.02 | 5.37 | 1.33 | 3.41 | - | - |
Recent form
Philadelphia Union- 15 OctAChicago Fire3-1
- 11 OctHReal Salt Lake2-1
- 27 SeptHOrlando City SC4-2
- 20 SeptASporting Kansas City4-3
- 14 SeptASan Diego5-0
Charlotte- 15 OctAColumbus Crew1-3
- 11 OctHFC Dallas3-2
- 27 SeptHChicago Fire0-1
- 20 SeptADC United2-1
- 13 SeptAFC Cincinnati3-3
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte: FAQ
What is the Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction?
+
Our tip is Philadelphia Union to win at odds of 1.50. Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2-0 Charlotte.
Who is the favourite to win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
+
Philadelphia Union are favourites. Our model gives Philadelphia Union a 60% chance of winning, Charlotte 17%, and the draw 23%.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
+
We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte kick off?
+
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia.
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