MLS· Regular Season - 30· Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City17 Oct
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
More Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5St. Louis City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Minnesota United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.31 | - |
| X2St. Louis City or Draw | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| 1XMinnesota United FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| 2St. Louis City to win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.50 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.92 | 2.62 |
| 1Minnesota United FC to win | 33% | 3.08 | 2.60 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.56 | 3.85 |
| AH2 -1.5St. Louis City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.27 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Minnesota United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.33 | - |
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.85 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.74 | 2.41 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.40 | 2.68 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.70 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.36 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.86 | 2.42 | 1.48 | 2.64 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.39 | 3.37 | 2.30 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.52 | 1.50 | 2.67 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City preview & analysis
Match preview
Minnesota United FC host St. Louis City in the MLS (Regular Season - 30) at Allianz Field on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Minnesota United FC are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Most recently they drew with Colorado Rapids 2-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 31 points from 29 games. St. Louis City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 51 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Minnesota United FC have won 5, St. Louis City have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes St. Louis City narrow favourites: Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 28%, St. Louis City 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.5 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Minnesota United FC 1-2 St. Louis City.
Recent form
Minnesota United FC- 15 OctAColorado Rapids2-2
- 11 OctHHouston Dynamo2-2
- 27 SeptASeattle Sounders1-3
- 20 SeptHLos Angeles Galaxy2-3
- 13 SeptASt. Louis City2-4
St. Louis City- 15 OctHVancouver Whitecaps0-0
- 12 OctHLos Angeles Galaxy6-2
- 1 OctANew York Red Bulls3-0
- 20 SeptHToronto FC3-1
- 17 SeptAColorado Rapids3-0
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City: FAQ
What is the Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Minnesota United FC 1-2 St. Louis City.
Who is the favourite to win Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?
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St. Louis City are favourites. Our model gives Minnesota United FC a 33% chance of winning, St. Louis City 39%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City kick off?
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Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo.
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